Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000672 0.000765 0.000863 0.000974 0.001096 0.001226 0.001375
2025-09-07 0.000524 0.000652 0.000797 0.000971 0.001176 0.001405 0.001682
2025-09-14 0.000444 0.000587 0.000757 0.000971 0.001230 0.001532 0.001907
2025-09-21 0.000379 0.000530 0.000716 0.000960 0.001265 0.001631 0.002100
2025-09-28 0.000325 0.000479 0.000676 0.000942 0.001286 0.001709 0.002262
2025-10-05 0.000298 0.000459 0.000671 0.000967 0.001357 0.001849 0.002503
2025-10-12 0.000273 0.000438 0.000664 0.000984 0.001419 0.001976 0.002730
2025-10-19 0.000242 0.000407 0.000638 0.000976 0.001443 0.002053 0.002895
2025-10-26 0.000215 0.000377 0.000612 0.000964 0.001461 0.002121 0.003046
2025-11-02 0.000198 0.000360 0.000603 0.000973 0.001507 0.002228 0.003249
2025-11-09 0.000180 0.000341 0.000588 0.000973 0.001539 0.002314 0.003427
2025-11-16 0.000157 0.000311 0.000555 0.000944 0.001527 0.002339 0.003521
2025-11-23 0.000137 0.000284 0.000524 0.000917 0.001518 0.002367 0.003622
2025-11-30 0.000124 0.000268 0.000510 0.000914 0.001543 0.002444 0.003791
2025-12-07 0.000113 0.000254 0.000498 0.000914 0.001571 0.002525 0.003968
2025-12-14 0.000101 0.000238 0.000480 0.000903 0.001582 0.002583 0.004111
2025-12-21 0.000090 0.000221 0.000460 0.000886 0.001583 0.002623 0.004230
2025-12-28 0.000086 0.000218 0.000464 0.000910 0.001647 0.002759 0.004490
2026-01-04 0.000081 0.000213 0.000464 0.000927 0.001702 0.002881 0.004732
2026-01-11 0.000073 0.000201 0.000450 0.000918 0.001715 0.002940 0.004882
2026-01-18 0.000066 0.000188 0.000435 0.000907 0.001721 0.002990 0.005018
2026-01-25 0.000061 0.000183 0.000431 0.000916 0.001763 0.003093 0.005236
2026-02-01 0.000056 0.000175 0.000423 0.000916 0.001788 0.003171 0.005417